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Red52
366715.5
440519.6
861214.9
Blue72
531421.6
592620.2
376724.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427102060801001205272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#40
19.60.3
21.321.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End3.2
blue by 4.9
3767
#31
24.50.3
21.321.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Second
3667
#37
15.50.3
18.018.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End3.8
blue by 6.1
5314
#25
21.60.3
19.920.2
Auto6.3
Teleop8.0
End7.3
Third
8612
#33
14.90.3
4.24.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 5.3
5926
#36
20.20.3
21.922.2
Auto7.3
Teleop5.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned