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Red70
526016.1
508632.5
560323.4
Blue104
515227.2
341434.7
705629.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708520406010012014070104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.1
30.630.5
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End11.0
blue by 2.2
34.71.5
28.930.4
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End5.9
Second
5603
#23
23.40.1
19.119.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.0
End5.9
blue by 6.3
7056
#18
29.71.5
26.828.2
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End11.4
Third
5260
#39
16.10.1
17.817.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End7.0
blue by 11.1
5152
#10
27.21.5
22.223.7
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsMissed51%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsEarned