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Red100
366715.5
357227.2
516726.9
Blue110
170136.2
658028.6
335747.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6512550100150100110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#38
27.22.1
24.426.5
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End9.5
blue by 19.8
47.00.0
44.844.8
Auto11.4
Teleop22.7
End12.9
Second
5167
#32
26.92.1
25.928.0
Auto4.5
Teleop15.9
End6.6
blue by 9.3
36.20.0
35.735.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.0
End5.2
Third
3667
#37
15.52.1
18.720.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End3.8
blue by 13.0
28.60.0
29.329.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
57%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned