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Red107
353944.4
560323.4
171130.9
Blue65
366715.5
122.9
170136.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10585406012014016018010765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.7
41.041.7
Auto11.9
Teleop24.6
End8.0
red by 8.2
36.21.2
37.436.3
Auto11.0
Teleop20.0
End5.2
Second
1711
#14
30.90.7
35.436.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End12.9
red by 8.0
1
#35
22.91.2
26.625.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End8.0
Third
5603
#23
23.40.7
19.920.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.0
End5.9
red by 7.9
3667
#37
15.51.2
18.617.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsMissed