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Red60
364133.6
661825.2
445319.0
Blue73
440519.6
508435.0
437722.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80796070901001106073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#30
33.60.9
33.532.6
Auto11.2
Teleop15.3
End7.2
blue by 1.4
35.00.2
36.336.1
Auto6.9
Teleop15.3
End12.9
Second
6618
#22
25.20.9
21.520.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.0
End9.6
red by 3.0
22.20.2
20.720.5
Auto7.6
Teleop5.1
End9.5
Third
4453
#34
19.00.9
18.517.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.9
End6.8
blue by 0.6
4405
#40
19.60.2
19.219.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsMissed79%Hangar oddsEarned