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Red119
207542.6
705629.7
546227.0
Blue92
508632.5
717834.8
592620.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10680406012014016011992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#12
42.61.5
43.344.9
Auto14.3
Teleop24.2
End4.2
red by 7.9
7178
#17
34.80.6
28.028.7
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End13.8
Second
7056
#18
29.71.5
29.531.1
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End11.4
blue by 2.8
32.50.6
31.432.1
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End11.0
Third
5462
#11
27.01.5
23.324.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End7.7
red by 6.8
5926
#36
20.20.6
18.819.5
Auto7.3
Teleop5.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned