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Red65
432717.7
366715.5
364133.6
Blue117
3344.8
445319.0
353944.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6611505010015020065117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#30
33.60.5
32.632.1
Auto11.2
Teleop15.3
End7.2
blue by 11.1
33
#3
44.80.5
42.142.6
Auto13.2
Teleop23.2
End8.4
Second
4327
#21
17.70.5
18.317.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 26.8
44.40.5
41.742.2
Auto11.9
Teleop24.6
End8.0
Third
3667
#37
15.50.5
17.517.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End3.8
blue by 3.5
4453
#34
19.00.5
17.618.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsMissed