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Red75
592620.2
360427.3
705629.7
Blue109
663725.8
353944.4
341434.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761175010015020025075109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7056
#18
29.70.1
31.331.2
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End11.4
blue by 14.7
44.40.0
42.242.2
Auto11.9
Teleop24.6
End8.0
Second
3604
#20
27.30.1
27.327.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End10.2
blue by 7.4
34.70.0
36.836.8
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End5.9
Third
5926
#36
20.20.1
18.318.2
Auto7.3
Teleop5.5
End7.3
blue by 5.6
6637
#28
25.80.0
26.026.0
Auto9.0
Teleop8.0
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned