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Red111
519324.3
440519.6
207542.6
Blue53
526016.1
171130.9
377023.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9375406010012014011153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#12
42.61.7
43.244.9
Auto14.3
Teleop24.2
End4.2
red by 11.7
1711
#14
30.91.3
35.534.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End12.9
Second
5193
#24
24.31.7
22.624.3
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End9.7
red by 1.3
3770
#27
23.01.3
21.119.8
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End9.1
Third
4405
#40
19.61.7
19.421.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End3.2
red by 3.5
5260
#39
16.11.3
16.014.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned49%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned99%Hangar oddsEarned