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Red110
3344.8
861214.9
717834.8
Blue74
432717.7
675331.1
571237.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89887580859510010511011074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
44.81.8
42.644.4
Auto13.2
Teleop23.2
End8.4
red by 7.5
5712
#13
37.30.6
36.936.4
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End10.8
Second
7178
#17
34.81.8
29.931.7
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End13.8
red by 3.7
6753
#16
31.10.6
27.627.0
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End9.6
Third
8612
#33
14.91.8
10.712.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 2.7
4327
#21
17.70.6
17.917.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned78%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned