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Red118
872821.2
353944.4
335747.0
Blue101
675331.1
705424.1
508632.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11884204060100140160180118101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.8
43.444.2
Auto11.4
Teleop22.7
End12.9
red by 14.5
32.51.2
31.933.1
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End11.0
Second
44.40.8
42.142.9
Auto11.9
Teleop24.6
End8.0
red by 13.4
6753
#16
31.11.2
27.428.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End9.6
Third
8728
#19
21.20.8
21.021.7
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End5.3
blue by 2.8
7054
#26
24.11.2
24.125.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned