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Red70
357227.2
861214.9
122.9
Blue80
437722.2
376724.5
661825.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66750501001502002503007080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#38
27.20.5
27.828.3
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End9.5
red by 2.0
6618
#22
25.20.5
23.523.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.0
End9.6
Second
1
#35
22.90.5
23.023.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End8.0
blue by 1.6
3767
#31
24.50.5
23.323.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Third
8612
#33
14.90.5
12.312.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 7.2
22.20.5
22.122.6
Auto7.6
Teleop5.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned