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Red62
519324.3
377023.0
872821.2
Blue117
592620.2
353944.4
675331.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71992040608012014016062117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5193
#24
24.30.5
25.825.3
Auto6.9
Teleop7.7
End9.7
blue by 20.2
44.41.1
42.944.0
Auto11.9
Teleop24.6
End8.0
Second
3770
#27
23.00.5
22.421.9
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End9.1
blue by 8.1
6753
#16
31.11.1
28.629.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End9.6
Third
8728
#19
21.20.5
21.721.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End5.3
red by 1.1
5926
#36
20.21.1
17.718.7
Auto7.3
Teleop5.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsMissed79%Hangar oddsEarned