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Red99
360427.3
437722.2
353944.4
Blue43
560323.4
661825.2
440519.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926540801001201409943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.8
38.739.5
Auto11.9
Teleop24.6
End8.0
red by 19.3
6618
#22
25.21.5
23.121.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.0
End9.6
Second
3604
#20
27.30.8
26.026.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End10.2
red by 3.9
5603
#23
23.41.5
20.218.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.0
End5.9
Third
22.20.8
18.519.3
Auto7.6
Teleop5.1
End9.5
red by 2.6
4405
#40
19.61.5
21.620.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned56%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsMissed