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Red117
335747.0
432717.7
508435.0
Blue106
571237.3
171130.9
515227.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031048090100110120130117106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.1
46.547.6
Auto11.4
Teleop22.7
End12.9
red by 9.7
5712
#13
37.30.3
38.238.5
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End10.8
Second
35.01.1
34.335.4
Auto6.9
Teleop15.3
End12.9
red by 4.1
1711
#14
30.90.3
31.331.6
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End12.9
Third
4327
#21
17.71.1
15.917.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 9.6
5152
#10
27.20.3
27.628.0
Auto7.9
Teleop8.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsMissed99%Hangar oddsEarned