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Red106
171130.9
170136.2
717834.8
Blue114
335747.0
675331.1
861214.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11295406080120140160106114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.2
36.636.8
Auto11.0
Teleop20.0
End5.2
blue by 10.8
47.01.5
47.649.1
Auto11.4
Teleop22.7
End12.9
Second
7178
#17
34.80.2
34.835.0
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End13.8
red by 3.7
6753
#16
31.11.5
30.632.1
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End9.6
Third
1711
#14
30.90.2
31.631.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End12.9
red by 16.0
8612
#33
14.91.5
13.414.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned