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Red87
499421.1
360427.3
432717.7
Blue107
3344.8
207542.6
661825.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58135010015020087107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#20
27.30.7
27.227.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.5
End10.2
blue by 17.5
33
#3
44.80.7
45.745.0
Auto13.2
Teleop23.2
End8.4
Second
4994
#29
21.10.7
20.421.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End12.5
blue by 21.5
2075
#12
42.60.7
45.444.7
Auto14.3
Teleop24.2
End4.2
Third
4327
#21
17.70.7
17.017.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 7.5
6618
#22
25.20.7
25.825.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.0
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsMissed95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsMissed