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Red112
207542.6
335747.0
705424.1
Blue111
571237.3
341434.7
663725.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129104406080120140160180200112111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.2
48.348.1
Auto11.4
Teleop22.7
End12.9
red by 9.7
5712
#13
37.30.1
38.238.3
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End10.8
Second
2075
#12
42.60.2
43.943.7
Auto14.3
Teleop24.2
End4.2
red by 7.9
34.70.1
35.735.7
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End5.9
Third
7054
#26
24.10.2
25.425.2
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End7.3
blue by 1.7
6637
#28
25.80.1
26.826.8
Auto9.0
Teleop8.0
End8.7