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Red108
50343.7
276749.4
561214.7
Blue91
150637.1
30231.9
353632.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911040608010014016018010891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.1
50.350.2
Auto14.6
Teleop21.2
End13.6
red by 12.3
1506
#10
37.10.3
38.338.0
Auto9.4
Teleop20.3
End7.4
Second
503
#3
43.70.1
44.644.5
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End8.7
red by 11.5
3536
#20
32.20.3
33.433.1
Auto10.7
Teleop12.5
End9.0
Third
5612
#32
14.70.1
15.615.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 17.1
302
#7
31.90.3
33.032.7
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End6.1