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Red108
50343.7
276749.4
561214.7
Blue52
317538.1
296035.1
360330.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117116608010014010852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.2
49.949.7
Auto14.6
Teleop21.2
End13.6
red by 11.4
3175
#16
38.11.3
39.638.4
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Second
503
#3
43.70.2
44.244.0
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End8.7
red by 8.6
2960
#15
35.11.3
36.735.4
Auto7.5
Teleop18.2
End9.3
Third
5612
#32
14.70.2
15.215.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 16.1
3603
#17
30.81.3
32.431.2
Auto8.2
Teleop17.4
End5.3