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Red96
7040.7
10735.7
360225.9
Blue119
150637.1
30231.9
353632.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11310870809010012013014015096119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
40.70.2
41.841.6
Auto13.7
Teleop15.5
End11.5
red by 3.6
1506
#10
37.10.3
37.537.8
Auto9.4
Teleop20.3
End7.4
Second
107
#4
35.70.2
36.736.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End10.5
red by 3.5
3536
#20
32.20.3
32.632.9
Auto10.7
Teleop12.5
End9.0
Third
3602
#29
25.90.2
27.026.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End8.1
blue by 6.0
302
#7
31.90.3
32.332.5
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End6.1