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Red90
276749.4
561214.7
191836.9
Blue71
477621.9
438138.3
7040.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069980901101201301409071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.6
46.145.5
Auto14.6
Teleop21.2
End13.6
red by 8.7
70
#8
40.71.5
37.135.6
Auto13.7
Teleop15.5
End11.5
Second
1918
#11
36.90.6
36.035.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.0
End11.8
blue by 1.4
4381
#26
38.31.5
37.936.4
Auto11.6
Teleop21.1
End5.5
Third
5612
#32
14.70.6
16.716.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 7.2
4776
#37
21.91.5
19.017.4
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned