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Red88
296035.1
368823.8
609023.5
Blue91
887319.1
607828.1
766026.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79766070901008891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#15
35.10.9
32.633.5
Auto7.5
Teleop18.2
End9.3
red by 7.0
6078
#22
28.11.3
28.129.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End14.2
Second
3688
#12
23.80.9
17.918.9
Auto7.4
Teleop9.6
End6.8
blue by 3.0
7660
#31
26.81.3
28.629.9
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.1
Third
6090
#13
23.50.9
23.524.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End9.8
red by 4.4
8873
#33
19.11.3
15.216.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsEarned