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Red77
842520.5
656923.3
191836.9
Blue93
561214.7
22632.0
10735.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83796070901007793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#11
36.90.0
35.435.4
Auto8.0
Teleop17.0
End11.8
red by 1.2
107
#4
35.71.2
34.135.3
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End10.5
Second
6569
#39
23.30.0
22.722.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End10.9
blue by 8.7
226
#18
32.01.2
24.225.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End11.6
Third
8425
#35
20.50.0
18.918.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End10.1
red by 5.8
5612
#32
14.71.2
16.217.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsMissed69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned