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Red121
567538.9
887319.1
276749.4
Blue100
776938.7
317538.1
22632.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021018090110120130121100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.41.5
48.750.2
Auto14.6
Teleop21.2
End13.6
red by 10.8
38.70.3
31.131.4
Auto11.6
Teleop16.1
End10.9
Second
38.91.5
30.131.6
Auto8.4
Teleop25.3
End5.2
red by 0.8
3175
#16
38.10.3
36.036.3
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Third
8873
#33
19.11.5
16.217.6
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 12.9
226
#18
32.00.3
28.128.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned