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Red114
85823.5
30231.9
438138.3
Blue52
550919.7
842520.5
766026.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936120408010012014011452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#26
38.31.5
36.738.2
Auto11.6
Teleop21.1
End5.5
red by 11.5
7660
#31
26.80.6
30.630.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.1
Second
302
#7
31.91.5
27.529.1
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End6.1
red by 11.3
8425
#35
20.50.6
18.818.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End10.1
Third
858
#23
23.51.5
18.720.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End6.4
red by 3.7
5509
#24
19.70.6
12.111.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsMissed