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Red71
887319.1
561214.7
7040.7
Blue55
609023.5
55388.9
686123.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8765501001507155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
40.70.5
40.539.9
Auto13.7
Teleop15.5
End11.5
red by 17.0
6861
#30
23.71.4
24.623.3
Auto8.0
Teleop8.8
End6.9
Second
8873
#33
19.10.5
19.719.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 4.4
6090
#13
23.51.4
27.025.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End9.8
Third
5612
#32
14.70.5
18.518.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.8
red by 5.8
5538
#38
8.91.4
11.910.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsMissed