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Red100
553519.9
85823.5
296035.1
Blue109
102344.7
191836.9
612218.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70112050150200250100109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#15
35.11.7
31.933.6
Auto7.5
Teleop18.2
End9.3
blue by 9.7
1023
#14
44.70.4
44.745.0
Auto5.1
Teleop33.7
End6.0
Second
858
#23
23.51.7
20.021.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End6.4
blue by 13.4
1918
#11
36.90.4
36.236.6
Auto8.0
Teleop17.0
End11.8
Third
5535
#34
19.91.7
19.020.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End5.2
red by 1.7
6122
#27
18.20.4
18.719.0
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned