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Red41
55777.7
89425.4
887319.1
Blue83
608720.1
30231.9
656923.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537501001504183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#21
25.40.8
23.723.0
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End10.0
blue by 6.4
302
#7
31.91.0
30.731.8
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End6.1
Second
8873
#33
19.10.8
19.218.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 4.2
6569
#39
23.31.0
21.722.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End10.9
Third
5577
#40
7.70.8
9.58.7
Auto3.5
Teleop0.5
End3.7
blue by 12.3
6087
#28
20.11.0
15.016.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsEarned