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Red116
10735.7
317538.1
5136.1
Blue75
561214.7
102344.7
553519.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126835010015011675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#16
38.10.2
38.738.9
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End5.6
blue by 6.7
1023
#14
44.71.1
45.043.9
Auto5.1
Teleop33.7
End6.0
Second
51
#9
36.10.2
38.638.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End10.8
red by 16.2
5535
#34
19.91.1
20.719.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End5.2
Third
107
#4
35.70.2
35.335.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End10.5
red by 21.0
5612
#32
14.71.1
18.016.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsMissed