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Red57
656923.3
887319.1
368823.8
Blue70
607828.1
549819.2
550919.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6057405070805770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#12
23.80.1
17.817.9
Auto7.4
Teleop9.6
End6.8
blue by 4.3
6078
#22
28.11.1
27.128.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End14.2
Second
6569
#39
23.30.1
22.722.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End10.9
red by 3.5
5509
#24
19.71.1
9.810.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End5.8
Third
8873
#33
19.10.1
15.115.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 0.1
5498
#25
19.21.1
17.118.2
Auto5.8
Teleop4.3
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsEarned