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Red96
842520.5
608720.1
22632.0
Blue52
553519.9
477621.9
607828.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6579020401001201409652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#18
32.01.7
26.628.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End11.6
red by 3.9
6078
#22
28.11.3
30.228.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End14.2
Second
8425
#35
20.51.7
18.920.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End10.1
blue by 1.4
4776
#37
21.91.3
22.020.7
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End5.1
Third
6087
#28
20.11.7
16.918.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 0.2
5535
#34
19.91.3
19.818.4
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned