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Red77
55388.9
50343.7
81830.2
Blue66
686123.7
283226.7
766026.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958760801001201407766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#3
43.71.0
45.144.1
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End8.7
red by 16.9
7660
#31
26.81.1
30.028.9
Auto9.8
Teleop13.9
End3.1
Second
818
#19
30.21.0
31.630.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End8.7
red by 3.5
2832
#36
26.71.1
27.126.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End4.9
Third
5538
#38
8.91.0
11.210.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.3
blue by 14.7
6861
#30
23.71.1
25.324.2
Auto8.0
Teleop8.8
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsEarned