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Red70
656923.3
477621.9
550919.7
Blue114
5136.1
7040.7
296035.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56133010015020070114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6569
#39
23.30.5
23.624.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End10.9
blue by 17.4
70
#8
40.70.1
41.541.4
Auto13.7
Teleop15.5
End11.5
Second
4776
#37
21.90.5
20.721.2
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End5.1
blue by 14.2
51
#9
36.10.1
38.538.4
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End10.8
Third
5509
#24
19.70.5
18.118.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.8
End5.8
blue by 15.3
2960
#15
35.10.1
35.335.2
Auto7.5
Teleop18.2
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned