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Red142
57326.2
50343.7
5136.1
Blue109
360330.8
81830.2
317538.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107926080100120140160142109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#3
43.72.9
40.743.6
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End8.7
red by 5.7
3175
#16
38.11.4
34.736.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Second
51
#9
36.12.9
31.634.5
Auto8.9
Teleop16.4
End10.8
red by 5.3
3603
#17
30.81.4
24.726.1
Auto8.2
Teleop17.4
End5.3
Third
573
#6
26.22.9
26.529.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End7.8
blue by 4.0
818
#19
30.21.4
28.630.0
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsEarned