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Red106
102344.7
776938.7
89425.4
Blue112
150637.1
30231.9
353632.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171106080100140160180106112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#14
44.70.1
44.844.7
Auto5.1
Teleop33.7
End6.0
red by 7.6
1506
#10
37.10.2
38.138.3
Auto9.4
Teleop20.3
End7.4
Second
38.70.1
38.738.7
Auto11.6
Teleop16.1
End10.9
red by 6.5
3536
#20
32.20.2
33.233.4
Auto10.7
Teleop12.5
End9.0
Third
894
#21
25.40.1
25.525.4
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End10.0
blue by 6.4
302
#7
31.90.2
32.933.0
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End6.1