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Red125
400340.6
362038.5
85726.7
Blue90
505038.9
516635.2
716028.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10911305015020025012590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#11
40.60.5
39.740.2
Auto12.5
Teleop23.8
End4.4
red by 1.8
5050
#12
38.90.4
39.939.4
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End12.5
Second
38.50.5
37.538.0
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End10.8
red by 3.3
35.20.4
36.235.7
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End9.5
Third
857
#38
26.70.5
25.726.2
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End12.1
blue by 1.8
7160
#23
28.40.4
29.429.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End11.9