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Red97
836819.2
366832.5
509023.1
Blue103
432527.5
353720.2
49445.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708740608010012014016097103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#13
32.51.9
30.532.4
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End9.7
blue by 13.1
494
#2
45.71.6
40.141.7
Auto13.9
Teleop20.1
End11.7
Second
5090
#28
23.11.9
21.323.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 4.5
4325
#21
27.51.6
22.824.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End9.5
Third
8368
#30
19.21.9
16.218.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End4.8
blue by 1.0
3537
#27
20.21.6
16.418.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsEarned72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned