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Red96
520532.1
608514.5
778231.9
Blue107
516635.2
421620.9
277132.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727920406010012014096107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5205
#17
32.11.8
28.930.8
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End7.3
blue by 3.1
35.22.3
26.028.3
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End9.5
Second
7782
#22
31.91.8
24.826.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End14.0
blue by 0.6
2771
#15
32.52.3
24.827.0
Auto8.2
Teleop18.3
End6.1
Third
6085
#39
14.51.8
14.716.5
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End0.9
blue by 6.4
4216
#40
20.92.3
22.424.7
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned