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Red108
600225.3
8532.3
562330.8
Blue118
362038.5
421620.9
432527.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8288050100150200108118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#18
32.32.0
29.531.5
Auto9.7
Teleop15.7
End6.9
blue by 6.2
38.51.6
32.434.1
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End10.8
Second
5623
#25
30.82.0
25.627.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End8.0
red by 3.2
4325
#21
27.51.6
24.426.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End9.5
Third
6002
#31
25.32.0
22.324.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End7.2
red by 4.4
4216
#40
20.91.6
24.726.3
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned