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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89100501502009971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.9
33.334.2
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End6.5
blue by 6.7
2337
#20
43.91.4
44.242.8
Auto13.7
Teleop20.5
End9.7
Second
5623
#25
30.80.9
27.528.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End8.0
red by 3.5
2959
#19
27.31.4
30.529.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End9.0
Third
1025
#24
24.20.9
24.525.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.2
End5.9
red by 5.0
8368
#30
19.21.4
17.616.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned