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Red108
277132.5
258635.4
233743.9
Blue115
516635.2
400340.6
118830.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116966080140160180108115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#20
43.90.1
42.842.9
Auto13.7
Teleop20.5
End9.7
red by 3.2
4003
#11
40.61.5
34.035.5
Auto12.5
Teleop23.8
End4.4
Second
2586
#16
35.40.1
35.135.3
Auto7.7
Teleop19.0
End8.7
red by 0.2
35.21.5
30.532.0
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End9.5
Third
2771
#15
32.50.1
28.328.5
Auto8.2
Teleop18.3
End6.1
red by 1.8
1188
#10
30.71.5
27.929.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned