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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13655010015020013277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
45.71.0
41.042.0
Auto13.9
Teleop20.1
End11.7
red by 15.3
30.31.0
29.430.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End12.0
Second
2337
#20
43.91.0
43.944.8
Auto13.7
Teleop20.5
End9.7
red by 22.6
8517
#35
21.21.0
18.519.5
Auto7.2
Teleop7.9
End6.1
Third
36.51.0
32.333.3
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End11.5
red by 17.7
6112
#29
18.81.0
14.415.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsEarned