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Red128
370737.1
516635.2
439136.5
Blue83
600225.3
509023.1
432527.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113805010015020012883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.11.8
33.635.3
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End6.5
red by 9.6
4325
#21
27.50.2
27.027.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End9.5
Second
36.51.8
33.335.1
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End11.5
red by 11.2
6002
#31
25.30.2
28.528.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End7.2
Third
35.21.8
34.836.6
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End9.5
red by 12.1
5090
#28
23.10.2
24.024.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned