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Red74
421620.9
118830.7
554711.5
Blue124
836819.2
505038.9
91038.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions699705015020074124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#10
30.70.1
32.332.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End5.0
blue by 8.2
5050
#12
38.92.4
36.238.6
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End12.5
Second
4216
#40
20.90.1
22.522.6
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End8.5
blue by 17.7
910
#5
38.62.4
34.436.8
Auto11.2
Teleop17.1
End10.3
Third
5547
#36
11.50.1
13.713.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.7
End3.3
blue by 7.7
8368
#30
19.22.4
17.219.6
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned