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Red80
432527.5
608124.3
836819.2
Blue122
387524.7
362038.5
439136.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759905015080122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#21
27.50.2
28.028.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End9.5
blue by 10.9
38.51.6
33.034.6
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End10.8
Second
6081
#33
24.30.2
25.525.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End5.4
blue by 12.3
36.51.6
34.536.1
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End11.5
Third
8368
#30
19.20.2
19.619.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End4.8
blue by 5.5
3875
#14
24.71.6
22.624.2
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned