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Red109
49445.7
600225.3
835221.0
Blue109
520532.1
521629.7
562330.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8382607090100109109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
45.7
Auto13.9
Teleop20.1
End11.7
red by 13.5
5205
#17
32.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End7.3
Second
6002
#31
25.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End7.2
blue by 5.4
5623
#25
30.8
Auto7.6
Teleop15.1
End8.0
Third
8352
#32
21.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End4.6
blue by 8.7
29.7
Auto6.7
Teleop15.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsMissed68%Hangar oddsEarned