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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions769102040601001201401606874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#12
38.90.3
40.239.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End12.5
blue by 1.8
4003
#11
40.60.7
40.339.7
Auto12.5
Teleop23.8
End4.4
Second
5046
#34
20.80.3
21.220.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End9.5
blue by 6.7
4325
#21
27.50.7
28.327.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End9.5
Third
5547
#36
11.50.3
11.811.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.7
End3.3
blue by 3.0
6085
#39
14.50.7
15.114.5
Auto6.8
Teleop6.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsMissed