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Semifinal 1-22022 FIRST in Michigan State Championship
Red123
546042.2
353851.5
332233.6
Blue102
50343.4
276749.1
561214.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711150100150200123102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
Unranked
51.50.1
50.7→50.6
Auto10.3
Teleop31.0
End10.1
red by 2.4
2767
Unranked
49.10.2
49.3→49.1
Auto14.3
Teleop21.0
End13.8
Second
5460
Unranked
42.20.1
41.4→41.3
Auto10.7
Teleop22.9
End8.6
blue by 1.2
503
Unranked
43.40.2
43.6→43.4
Auto11.8
Teleop22.7
End8.9
Third
3322
Unranked
33.60.1
32.8→32.7
Auto8.2
Teleop18.7
End6.7
red by 19.3
5612
Unranked
14.40.2
14.6→14.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End5.0