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Red146
233744.5
2765.9
509023.7
Blue136
3344.8
353944.5
717834.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14113050100150200146136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
Unranked
65.90.3
64.865.1
Auto15.4
Teleop36.9
End13.6
red by 21.1
33
Unranked
44.80.2
44.644.8
Auto12.6
Teleop23.6
End8.6
Second
2337
Unranked
44.50.3
43.343.7
Auto13.8
Teleop20.8
End9.9
Level
3539
Unranked
44.50.2
44.344.5
Auto11.3
Teleop25.0
End8.1
Third
5090
Unranked
23.70.3
22.622.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End5.0
blue by 11.1
7178
Unranked
34.80.2
34.634.8
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End13.8